| Conf. | Type | Category | Lesson | ✓/✗ | Last confirmed |
|---|
| 0.8983 |
preference |
founder_preference |
Founder now has capital and runway — judge ideas on sellability (reachable paying buyer, differentiation), not 30-day cash; do not penalise modest upfront spend or a 3-6 month ramp. |
1/0 |
07-10 |
| 0.8899 |
fact |
methodology |
Lexical (ts_rank) demand retrieval fabricates evidence (matched 45Z clean-fuel credit to a SaaS support job ad); semantic embedding retrieval at cosine>=0.72 discriminates correctly. |
1/0 |
07-10 |
| 0.8899 |
fact |
sources |
Google Patents XHR is bot-blocked (503) from this server; the official USPTO ODP API (api.uspto.gov, keyed) works. |
1/0 |
07-10 |
| 0.8404 |
fact |
sources |
Reddit blocks datacenter IPs on both .json (403) and .rss (intermittent); reliable Reddit ingestion needs OAuth. |
1/0 |
07-10 |
| 0.8404 |
fact |
methodology |
Connected-components clustering on semantic edges chains transitively into hairballs; mutual-kNN plus hairball-splitting yields tight, useful clusters. |
1/0 |
07-10 |
| 0.8373 |
inference |
scoring |
The engine is capability-rich but demand-blind: capability sources dominate ingestion, so demand_evidence/existing_spend/speed_to_revenue are systematically under-scored. Demand sources are the scoring bottleneck. |
1/0 |
07-10 |
| 0.7955 |
heuristic |
founder_fit |
Government-portal mandate opportunities (regulation compels a class of filers to submit to a portal) fit this founder best — highest founder-fit scores (8-9) and structural forced-buyer demand. |
1/0 |
07-10 |
| 0.7955 |
heuristic |
methodology |
Federal Register agency feeds must be filtered to type=RULE/PRORULE; Notices (exemption applications, airworthiness directives) are not filing mandates and waste reasoning budget. |
1/0 |
07-10 |
| 0.7955 |
heuristic |
scoring |
A FORCED BUYER government mandate is the strongest demand signal available: the buyer has no choice and a deadline. |
1/0 |
07-10 |